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Source: Yanks to retain Gardner on $12.5M deal

Published in Breaking News
Thursday, 12 December 2019 08:23

Free-agent outfielder Brett Gardner, the New York Yankees' longest-tenured player, will remain with the team after reaching a one-year, $12.5 million deal, a source confirmed to ESPN's Buster Olney on Thursday.

The deal breaks down with Gardner getting a $2 million signing bonus and an $8 million salary for next season. The Yankees have a $10 million option for 2021 with a $2.5 million buyout, a source told ESPN's Jeff Passan.

Gardner made $7.5 million last season. The New York Post first reported the agreement.

His agreement, added to the pending nine-year, $324 million contract with pitcher Gerrit Cole, raises the Yankees' projected payroll for the luxury tax to about $257 million -- $9 million above where the highest surtax starts.

The 36-year-old Gardner, a rare lefty in a Yankees lineup dominated by right-handed hitters, recorded his best season in 2019, when he hit .251 with a career-high 28 homers and 74 RBIs.

"The constant that he is means a lot to the organization as well as the production on the field," assistant general manager Mike Fishman said.

Gardner originally was slated to be the Yankees' fourth outfielder last season, but he was called on to start 141 games -- mostly in center field -- because of a series of injuries to Aaron Judge (102 games played), Aaron Hicks (59) and Giancarlo Stanton (18).

Hicks, who was slated to play center field in 2019, had Tommy John surgery after the season and is not expected to return until next summer.

Gardner was the Yankees' starting left fielder in all nine postseason games, going 6-for-34 with 4 RBIs and 15 strikeouts, as a record-setting power year by the Bronx Bombers ended with a string of K's and another October bust.

His signature moment last season came when he banged his bat against the dugout roof after being ejected in a game in July for arguing balls and strikes, leading Aaron Boone to take off on an expletive-filled rant that prompted the Yankees manager to call his hitters "savages" in the batter's box.

The team used the "savages" moniker for the rest of the season as a motivator.

"He is well loved by all his teammates," Fishman said. "The passion, it's a part of who he is."

Drafted by the Yankees in 2005, Gardner has a .260 career average with 124 home runs, 524 RBIs and 267 stolen bases in 12 big league seasons since 2008. His average of 4.25 pitches per plate appearance is third among active players with 3,000 or more plate appearances, behind only Matt Carpenter (4.27) and Mike Trout (4.26).

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Ex-NFL players accused of health care scheme

Published in Breaking News
Thursday, 12 December 2019 07:53

Ten former NFL players, including ex-Washington Redskins running back Clinton Portis, have been charged with defrauding the league's health program of millions of dollars.

The players are among a group of 12 facing charges in the Eastern District of Kentucky, the Department of Justice announced Thursday. They are accused of filing more than $3.9 million in fraudulent claims, of which more than $3.4 million were paid from June 2017 to December 2018.

Along with the charges that were announced, the Department of Justice said it will seek charges against two others, including former New Orleans Saints wide receiver Joe Horn.

"Ten former NFL players allegedly committed a brazen, multimillion-dollar fraud on a health care plan meant to help their former teammates and other retired players pay legitimate, out-of-pocket medical expenses," Assistant Attorney General Brian Benczkowski said. "Today's indictments underscore that, whoever you are, if you loot health care programs to line your own pockets, you will be held accountable by the Department of Justice."

The other players charged are Robert McCune, John Eubanks, Tamarick Vanover, Carlos Rogers, Ceandris Brown, James Butler, Fred Bennett, Correll Buckhalter and Etric Pruitt.

The government also intends to charge Donald "Reche" Caldwell.

"Many of the players named in the indictment are shocked to the allegations given that most if not all deny any participation in any scheme to defraud the insurance company," read a statement from Portis' attorney, Mark Dycio. "Clinton Portis has no knowledge that his participation in what he believed to be an NFL-sanctioned medical reimbursement was illegal. He is completely taken aback by this indictment and will move forward with the process of clearing his good name and those of his fellow NFL alumni."

Prosecutors allege the players targeted the Gene Upshaw NFL Player Health Reimbursement Account Plan, which was established as part of the collective bargaining agreement in 2006. It provides tax-free reimbursement of out-of-pocket medical care expenses that were not covered by insurance and that were incurred by former players, their spouses and dependents.

According to the indictments, the players made claims for expensive pieces of medical equipment -- such as hyperbaric oxygen chambers, cryotherapy machines, ultrasound machines and electromagnetic therapy devices -- that weren't purchased or received. The typical claim was for $40,000 to $50,000.

Several of the former players are accused of recruiting other players to join the scheme and would make the claims in return for kickbacks of up to $10,000.

The indictment alleges they fabricated letters from health care providers about using the medical equipment, fabricated prescriptions that were purportedly signed by health care providers and created fake invoices from medical equipment companies in an effort to prove the equipment was purchased.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

With just three weeks of games in the NFL regular season left to go, we're now 18 days away from the Monday when teams traditionally fire their head coaches and officially enter the market for new leaders. Two teams have already beaten their colleagues to the punch in this regard, with Washington firing Jay Gruden and Carolina sacking Ron Rivera.

More will follow. Last year, eight teams appointed new coaches during the offseason. A similar number would hardly be surprising this time around. With that in mind, if you're a coach who might be in line to take over an NFL team, I've prepared a cheat sheet. As I do every year, I'm going to rank the various NFL jobs that might come available this offseason from least desirable to most compelling. I don't expect all of these coaches to get fired, and I'm not rooting for anyone to lose their job, but I wouldn't be shocked if any of these organizations decided to change coaches.

Of the nine teams I found as potential candidates, one was an easy choice as the least desirable opportunity. Let's start with the most depressing team in the league:

Jump to a team:
ATL | CAR | CLE
DAL | DET | JAX
NYG | NYJ | WSH

9. Washington

Biggest strength: The checks clear
Biggest weakness: Ownership

The Knicks of the NFL similarly seem to set up their own coaches for failure. Jay Gruden's six-year tenure with the club ended in October after an 0-5 start amid reports that Gruden didn't want to use a first-round pick on quarterback Dwayne Haskins. The organization has shed talent both on the field (Kirk Cousins) and off (Sean McVay, Scot McCloughan) in recent years in embarrassing fashion and spent much of 2019 playing its home games in front of a half-empty stadium.

Please don't take that as criticism of Washington fans. They deserve better after 20 disastrous years under Daniel Snyder's ownership, which has included more head coaches (nine) than winning seasons (five). Snyder's charges haven't won a playoff game since 2005. If the organization can't convince fans to show up, how is it going to attract any coach who has the option to pursue other opportunities?

Sadly, there is little on the roster to be excited about. The team's best player, left tackle Trent Williams, hasn't played all season after demanding a trade. Star guard Brandon Scherff is a free agent. Scherff and All-Underrated team member Matt Ioannidis are the only players who remain on the roster from the 2015 and 2016 drafts, as picks such as Josh Doctson and Su'a Cravens failed to make an impact and are out of football.

Washington's largest cap hit in 2020 belongs to veteran quarterback Alex Smith, whose $16 million base salary is guaranteed for injury. The organization can't be blamed for what happened to Smith, whose NFL future remains uncertain after he suffered a broken leg in 2018, but there's nothing it can do to push Smith's salary off its cap. Washington will owe $10.8 million in dead money when it moves on from Smith after the 2020 campaign.

The organization is likely to move on from several other highly paid veterans, including cornerback Josh Norman and tight end Jordan Reed, whose departures would free up a combined $21 million in cap space. Ryan Kerrigan will be in the final year of his deal, and while he's still a valuable edge rusher, the team isn't anywhere close to contending with the 31-year-old on its roster. The prudent thing would be to explore the trade market for Williams and Kerrigan, bring back Scherff and try to start a youth movement. You can guess what I think Washington will do.

There is some young talent here, although it's not comparable to most of the other franchises on this list. The 2019 rookie class has been promising, with third-round wideout Terry McLaurin looking like a superstar in the making. Edge rusher Montez Sweat has flashed potential at times. Defensive linemen Daron Payne and Jonathan Allen and defensive backs Quinton Dunbar and Fabian Moreau are worthwhile contributors on rookie deals. Landon Collins might be overpaid, but he's a talented safety and a leader on defense.

The big question is what potential coaches think of Haskins, who has unsurprisingly struggled as a rookie. There was little reason to expect him to succeed this early given the issues along the offensive line and his inexperience at the position. This season shouldn't realistically mean much in terms of evaluating him; if you liked him coming out of school, you're going to be able to make excuses for why he didn't succeed, and if you didn't like him as a prospect, well, you can point to the 2019 film. Coaching candidates who want a blank slate or an established option at quarterback will look elsewhere.

If there's any way Snyder can attract a desirable candidate, it would be by offering the sort of personnel control other teams aren't willing to give to the vast majority of coaches in 2019, even if that means moving on from team president Bruce Allen, the public face of the franchise. Of course, coaches don't typically get personnel control for a reason. Coaching is hard enough, and for every Bill Belichick who can succeed while juggling both jobs, you'll run into a Bill O'Brien in Houston or a Mike Holmgren in Cleveland. Mike Shanahan reportedly had personnel control during his time in Washington, although it's fair to wonder how much Snyder influenced the day-to-day decision-making in football operations.

The dream candidate in some ways, of course, would be Urban Meyer. The former Ohio State coach had glowing things to say about his former quarterback this summer after Washington drafted Haskins, though that's hardly a surprise. Meyer retired from coaching last December for health reasons, although he gave the same reason for moving on from Florida in December 2010 and was named Ohio State coach less than a year later.

Meyer has never coached at the NFL level, but the 55-year-old expressed interest in the Cowboys job in October. We'll get to them in a bit. Unless he is desperate to work with Haskins, it's more likely that Washington will turn over the job to someone who doesn't have head-coaching options elsewhere. One plausible candidate is 34-year-old offensive coordinator Kevin O'Connell, who has been in the building since 2017. Years after letting McVay leave, Snyder could try to avoid making the same mistake again.


8. New York Giants

Biggest strength: Market
Biggest weakness: Lack of talent

The NFC East is a fun place, huh? I'd rank the 2-11 Giants narrowly ahead of their 3-10 divisional rivals in Washington, if only because ownership hasn't directly undercut or sold out the coaching staff as frequently as Snyder has over the past 20 years. The Giants have generally been a patient organization to a fault, although those days might have ended once Tom Coughlin left town. If Pat Shurmur is fired after two seasons in charge, the Giants will search for their third non-interim head coach in five years. Before Shurmur and Ben McAdoo, the only Giants coach since 1931 to be fired after just two seasons in charge was Ray Handley.

The bigger question might be whether general manager Dave Gettleman follows Shurmur out the door. Gettleman's two-year run in charge of the Giants has been disastrous, and while the former Panthers GM inherited a roster bereft of young talent, his moves have done little to shore things up. His controversial decision to draft running back Saquon Barkley with the second overall pick has not aged well; as talented as Barkley clearly is, he hasn't been able to single-handedly build a running game, which is what he needed to do to justify being selected over the likes of quarterback Sam Darnold and guard Quenton Nelson, let alone the best runner in his class, Lamar Jackson. Other 2018 picks such as guard Will Hernandez and outside linebacker Lorenzo Carter don't appear to be difference-makers after two seasons.

The jury is still out Gettleman's two draft classes, but 2019 first-rounder DeAndre Baker has been one of the worst corners -- and starters -- in football so far. Gettleman's best selection so far, adjusting for draft position, has likely been fifth-round pick Darius Slayton. The problem, of course, is that Slayton has taken the spot in the lineup that previously belonged to franchise icon Odell Beckham Jr. While Beckham has had an underwhelming season in Cleveland, retaining him would have given rookie quarterback Daniel Jones a legitimate No. 1 receiver.

Jones' first season has been inconsistent. After leading the Giants to a comeback victory over the Bucs and a win over Washington, he lost eight straight before going down with a high ankle sprain. He hasn't had much help up front, but he has shown virtually no pocket awareness. Jones has fumbled 15 times in 11 games, and while his stat line is several grades above that of Haskins, a lot of it has been thanks to friendly matchups. He threw 10 touchdown passes without an interception against the Bucs (who rank 19th in pass defense DVOA), Lions (25th) and Jets (22nd). He has otherwise thrown eight touchdown passes against 11 picks in his other matchups.

Even if you think it's too early to evaluate the draft picks, Gettleman's decisions with veterans have gone horribly. He made former Patriots left tackle Nate Solder the highest-paid offensive lineman in league history in the spring of 2018, but Solder has allowed 17.5 sacks, per Stats LCC data, over the ensuing two seasons. Gettleman followed by signing guard Patrick Omameh to a three-year, $15.5 million deal, only to cut Omameh after seven games. Adding 31-year-old receiver Golden Tate made little sense for a rebuilding team, as did bizarre trades for the likes of linebacker Alec Ogletree and defensive lineman Leonard Williams. Gettleman's plan to build around running the football and "hog mollies" seemed antiquated, but the Ravens have built their offensive philosophy around that model and have the league's best offense. The problem is that the players Gettleman has acquired to fill out his plan aren't good enough to pull it off.

As a result, I'm not sure who the Giants should even consider targeting to rebuild their rebuild. If they don't fire Gettleman, they'll end up with a mismatched general manager and coach who are incentivized to do different things by their relative job security, the same issue that plagued the Jets for years. Most teams would target a quarterback guru to try to work with Jones as he enters Year 2, but the Giants would be firing an offense-minded coach in Shurmur and have one of the league's worst defenses.

When I asked ESPN Giants reporter Jordan Raanan whom he would hire, the name he brought up was Baylor coach Matt Rhule. The 44-year-old was once the Giants' assistant offensive line coach and turned down an opportunity to take the Jets job last year when he wasn't allowed to pick his own offensive coordinator. Rhule understandably wants to build an organization in his own image. Can he -- or anybody with his level of credibility -- do that with Gettleman in the building?


7. New York Jets

Biggest strength: Promising quarterback
Biggest weakness: Lack of talent

Speaking of those crosstown rivals, Jets ownership has insisted it won't fire Adam Gase after one season in charge. Given that this is the same organization that let general manager Mike Maccagnan spend millions in free agency and run the 2019 draft before firing him in May, you'll forgive me if I take what they say publicly with a grain of salt.

With that being said, the Jets' late-season ascension to mediocrity against a breathtakingly easy schedule makes it more likely that Gase will get another year in charge. The team has won four of five after starting 1-7, although those wins have come against the teams ranked 23rd (Raiders), 29th (Giants), 31st (Washington) and 32nd (Dolphins) in DVOA. Their one loss came against a hurdle that was apparently too high to top, as they were blown out by the 30th-ranked Bengals in Week 13.

This job is less enticing than it was a year ago, when quarterback Sam Darnold was coming off a hot stretch in December and the Jets had more than $100 million in cap space. Cap room won't be hard to come by, given that they are projected with more than $66 million, but after making big signings in each of the past two offseasons, is ownership likely to endorse another spending spree in 2020?

Many of those moves have turned out disastrously. Trumaine Johnson was one of the league's worst cornerbacks in 2018 and was benched in September before going on injured reserve. The Jets will eat $12 million in dead money when they release him after the season. Running back Le'Veon Bell has averaged 3.2 yards per carry in his first season in New York and gotten crossed up in a bowling scandal. Free-agent signee C.J. Mosley injured his groin in the season opener, came back too early, aggravated the injury and then went on injured reserve. Fellow inside linebacker Avery Williamson tore his ACL in the preseason because Gase decided to play him with the backups. Center Ryan Kalil, too, was benched before hitting IR.

The Jets have needed to spend in free agency because their roster has been bereft of young talent. There hasn't been much growth. The only players left on the roster who were drafted before 2016 are running back Bilal Powell, guard Brian Winters and receiver Quincy Enunwa, the latter of whom was most recently seen angrily tweeting about the organization fining him for missing a rehab day. The one clear star the team has drafted is safety Jamal Adams, who was the subject of trade rumors at the deadline and responded with his own angry tweets before making up with the organization.

I haven't even covered all the scandals and bizarre things that have happened to the Jets in 2019. Darnold was sidelined by mono. Guard Kelechi Osemele publicly argued with the team when he wanted to get surgery on an ailing shoulder, with the Jets eventually releasing the former All-Pro. With all that being said, winning -- even over similarly terrible teams -- can be a cure-all. Unless the Jets are catastrophically bad in their season-ending run against the Ravens, Steelers and Bills, I would expect Gase to be back in 2019.


6. Jacksonville Jaguars

Biggest strength: Draft capital
Biggest weakness: Missing quarterback

It's staggering to think that the Jaguars are less than two years removed from leading the Patriots by 10 points in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship Game. They beat the Patriots 31-20 in Week 2 of 2018, with Blake Bortles throwing for 376 yards and four touchdowns. Since then, they've gone 7-20. Bortles and star cornerback Jalen Ramsey are both gone. Soon, coach Doug Marrone could follow them.

I'm not fond of the idea that a team has quit on a coach. Too often, it's a term fans or media members use to explain away a bad day or a rough patch. That might be the case here, but the Jaguars have been totally noncompetitive over the past five weeks. Since beating the Jets to get to 4-4, Jacksonville has gone 0-5 and been outscored by 117 points. It's the first team to lose five consecutive games in a single season by 17 or more points since 1986. This stretch has come against teams that are a combined 27-31 in games not involving the Jags, so the run hasn't been a result of a difficult schedule.

Occam's razor would suggest that the Jaguars are struggling because they aren't talented enough to win games. While the 2017 season made it seem like they were on the verge of breaking through, what has happened since has been telling. Dave Caldwell is now in his seventh year as general manager. Just three players remain on the roster from his first three drafts: wide receiver Marqise Lee (who will likely be released after the season), center Brandon Linder and guard A.J. Cann. Star linebacker Telvin Smith was among that group before unexpectedly leaving football this offseason.

Likewise, despite picking at the top of the draft for most of his tenure, Caldwell's top selections haven't formed a core. First overall pick Luke Joeckel is out of football. Bortles, foolishly propped up for years and signed to an ill-advised extension, is now a backup with the Rams. Edge rusher Dante Fowler Jr. and Ramsey have joined him via trade. Running back Leonard Fournette, the No. 4 overall pick in 2017, has had his best season as a pro, but he hasn't been consistently effective. Defensive tackle Taven Bryan was drafted at the bottom of the first round in 2018, and rookie Josh Allen looks to be a special edge rusher, but that group includes five players taken with one of the first five picks of their respective drafts. Ramsey is the only one who lived up to pre-draft expectations.

The good news for the Jags is that there's still some talent left on the roster. In addition to Allen, 2018 second-rounder DJ Chark broke through as a star wideout this season. The strength of the team has been along the defensive line, but Calais Campbell is entering the final year of his deal, while Yannick Ngakoue is a free agent. The Jags can keep around Ngakoue on the franchise tag, but they are penciled to have only about $6 million in cap space in 2020 before addressing the Ngakoue issue. It's inevitable that the Jaguars will have to cut guys such as Lee and linebacker Jake Ryan to create cap space.

What the Jags can't do, though, is move on from Nick Foles. As I mentioned last week, the Jaguars still have more than $20 million in guarantees due to their benched quarterback. Jacksonville will either have to eat that money over the next two years or trade a draft pick to convince some friendly team to take on his deal.

Fortunately, after trading away Ramsey, the Jags have a few draft picks to use. Jacksonville has an extra first-round pick in the 2020 and 2021 drafts courtesy of the Rams, and while those picks are likely to fall somewhere in the 20s, four first-round picks over the next two years could make this job appealing on their own. Jacksonville should be able to move up for one of the non-Joe Burrow quarterbacks in the 2020 class if it wants to move ahead of the Dolphins at No. 4.

It's unclear who will be making those picks. Caldwell has ceded power in recent years to executive Tom Coughlin. Caldwell, Coughlin and Marrone were given one-year extensions on their current deals by owner Shahid Khan after the Jags nearly advanced to the Super Bowl in 2017. It's not crazy to imagine a scenario in which the Jaguars move on from all three after this season, though it's possible Coughlin could simply take over as coach.

Khan has generally been willing to spend money in free agency and has been patient with his football people, with Mike Mularkey's one-and-done as an exception. The ownership situation, draft capital and the presence of young talent are appealing here. The Jags aren't that far off from winning. With an expensive roster and no clear solution at quarterback, though, other jobs are more exciting.


5. Cleveland Browns

Biggest strength: Young talent
Biggest weakness: Ownership

When I wrote this column last year, I ranked the Browns as the league's fifth-most desirable opening. This didn't go over well. Baker Mayfield was playing like a superstar. The Browns had an army of young talent after years of amassing draft picks. Cleveland finished the season 5-2 and looked to be gathering momentum in advance of breaking through in 2019. Who wouldn't want the Browns job?

You've seen what happened this season. Preseason concerns about discipline, Freddie Kitchens' inexperience as a coach, and the offensive line issues all came true. Mayfield regressed and ranks 33rd in the league in passer rating. The Browns were the preseason favorites to win the AFC North, but in a season in which the Steelers had Ben Roethlisberger for one full game and a wild-card spot is going to go to a team quarterbacked by Ryan Tannehill or Devlin Hodges, the Browns will miss the playoffs for the 17th consecutive season. After Cleveland spent the better part of a decade conspicuously rebuilding, the Ravens lapped the Browns and relaunched under the aegis of the Lamar Jackson show in a little over a year.

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1:57

Stephen A. is sick of Freddie Kitchens' excuses

Stephen A. Smith blames Freddie Kitchens for the lack of discipline in the Browns organization.

There's still a lot to like here. The Browns have promising young talent on both sides of the football, even if guys such as Mayfield and cornerback Denzel Ward haven't been quite as impressive in Year 2. Pass-rusher Myles Garrett, the No. 1 pick in the 2017 draft, should be back from suspension at some point in 2020. Cleveland's problems are concentrated along the offensive line, and it's easier to fix an offensive line than it is to fix holes at four or five different positions across the roster. After trading away picks in the OBJ deal, general manager John Dorsey has an extra third-rounder in 2020 from the Texans thanks to the Duke Johnson swap.

If the Browns do fire Kitchens, the Haslams will be hiring a permanent coach for the fifth time since taking over the organization in 2012. That alone will discourage the most promising candidates. The most common rumor as a replacement is former Packers coach Mike McCarthy, who worked with Dorsey in Green Bay. McCarthy might not be a sexy pick given the way the Packers seemed to come up short for most of Aaron Rodgers' peak, but he helped develop Rodgers into a superstar and won a Super Bowl. After the year the Browns have had, going for the stable, experienced option seems more appealing than it did a year ago.


4. Detroit Lions

Biggest strength: Quarterback
Biggest weakness: Ownership

The Ford family has generally been very patient with head coaches, which is the biggest reason Matt Patricia is likely to get a third year in Detroit. The Lions hired him after a season in which Jim Caldwell went 9-7 and had the league's 19th-ranked defense by DVOA. Patricia's Patriots defense when he was coordinator ranked 31st in DVOA that same season. Since then, the Lions have gone 9-19-1. Patricia's defenses have ranked 28th and now 24th in DVOA despite trading for defensive tackle Damon Harrison and signing pass-rusher Trey Flowers to a big-money deal in free agency. The Patriots' defense hasn't exactly suffered since Patricia left town, either.

The only coach the Ford family has fired after two seasons since 1980 is Marty Mornhinweg, who went 5-27 in 2001-02. (Even then, the Lions suggested Mornhinweg would be back before changing their mind and hiring Steve Mariucci.) The patience ownership typically affords coaches here is a huge positive for new coaches, and the Fords might look at the 3-4-1 record the Lions posted before Matthew Stafford went down injured and write off what happened afterward as the product of middling quarterback play.

Of course, the Lions probably should have had a better Plan B behind Stafford than Jeff Driskel and David Blough, and the defense wasn't very good when Stafford was around either. The Lions were 14th in points scored per drive on offense with Stafford in the lineup. Their defense was 28th in the same category. Patricia inherited a competent-to-good team and has dragged it down in the area in which he was expected to offer specific expertise.

The defense doesn't look closer to being fixed than it was when Patricia arrived. General manager Bob Quinn has curiously continued to invest first-round picks on offense, having used three of his four since taking over the job on players surrounding Stafford. The one player Quinn has drafted to achieve a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod is return man Jamal Agnew, although both center Frank Ragnow and wideout Kenny Golladay have had breakout 2019 seasons.

The draw for most coaches here will be Stafford, who provides a built-in floor as one of the league's most consistently competent quarterbacks. He was in the middle of one of the best stretches of his career before getting injured, and given that he hadn't missed a game since 2010, it seems fair to call his 2019 back injury an aberration until we see more evidence to the contrary. Stafford isn't cheap -- he has the league's highest cap hit at $29.5 million this year and is penciled in for the fifth-highest hit in 2020 at $31.5 million -- but this version of the quarterback and a solid defense would be a playoff team. If they could just fix that defense.


3. Atlanta Falcons

Biggest strength: Ownership
Biggest weakness: Salary cap

There are few owners in the NFL who are more coach-friendly than Arthur Blank. Since taking over the Falcons in 2002, he has hired four coaches in 17 seasons: Jim Mora Jr., Bobby Petrino (who quit after one year), Mike Smith and Dan Quinn. He has hired Rich McKay and then Thomas Dimitroff to run football operations. This is one of the most stable, patient organizations in all of sports, let alone football. Any coach coming to work for the Falcons should expect to have four years before seriously worrying about losing his job.

Four years would bring us to 2023, which is the final year in the deals of both quarterback Matt Ryan and wide receiver Julio Jones. Whoever takes over this team if Quinn does get fired will inherit a potentially lethal offense. While things haven't clicked under coordinator Dirk Koetter this season, and Falcons fans might always hold up Ryan & Co. to the unrealistic standard of the Kyle Shanahan-led Super Bowl offense of 2016, there are six first-round picks on this side of the ball and a couple of borderline Hall of Famers.

The defense? This is the part of the house tour in which they keep trying to lead you back to the beautiful outdoor pool so you don't notice the crater in the roof. Atlanta's defense has improved slightly after the bye as Quinn has handed his last remaining share of the playcalling duties on defense to Raheem Morris, but let's be realistic. This is a terrible unit, and outside of the playoffs, it has been a terrible defense for a while. The Falcons haven't ranked any higher than 22nd in defensive DVOA since 2012. Over the past seven seasons, their average rank by defensive DVOA is 27th.

This defense has been horrible for the entirety of Quinn's tenure with the team. The good news is that he is likely leaving. The bad news is that the Falcons have what is likely the league's worst cap situation. They have $205.5 million committed to their 2020 cap, which is almost surely going to be over whatever the cap comes out at for 2020, even after you account for a little over $5 million in rollover funds for Atlanta.

Most teams in this situation can clear out cap space by releasing expensive players. The Falcons don't have many deals in which they can create significant room by moving on from a player. Cap managers can typically choose to designate a player as a post-June 1 release to spread the remaining dead money on their deal across two seasons, which creates more short-term cap room, but organizations aren't allowed to do that in the final year of the current collective bargaining agreement. Would you believe that's in 2020, too?

The Falcons subsequently have some tough choices ahead. They can release running back Devonta Freeman and save $3.5 million. Moving on from offensive tackle Ty Sambrailo and tight end Luke Stocker creates $6.4 million more. Cutting star center Alex Mack would be difficult, but it would create $8 million in room. All of this is before signing a single free agent, which means they will likely have to let breakout tight end Austin Hooper leave without compensation if they want to be even moderately active in the free-agent market on defense.

The Falcons should hire the sort of coach who has a track record of drafting and developing young talent on the defensive side of the ball. One logical candidate should be quite familiar to Falcons fans: former Panthers coach Ron Rivera, whose defenses were routinely excellent before dropping off the past couple of seasons.

On the other hand, maybe the Falcons should just go after an offensive genius and try to score 40 points every week, defense be damned. With the Patriots struggling mightily and Tom Brady potentially leaving after the season, could this be the time Josh McDaniels actually does leave New England? Is this the sort of job that could lure away Lincoln Riley from Oklahoma? Blank has gone for defensive coaches with each of his past two hires, so given the Falcons' utter ineptitude on the side of that ball, he could go in that direction again.


2. Carolina Panthers

Biggest strength: Talent
Biggest weakness: Quarterback uncertainty

The Panthers were one of my picks as the five teams most likely to improve in 2019. They almost surely aren't going to beat their 7-9 mark from last season, but there's a better team here than their 5-8 record seems to indicate. In addition to starting the combination of a compromised Cam Newton and an overmatched Kyle Allen at quarterback, the Panthers had four games in which they could have either won or tied things up late in the fourth quarter and were stopped inside the opposition's 3-yard line.

There's a lot to like here. Marty Hurney has generally done good work in his second stint as general manager, and Carolina is loaded with talent it has drafted over the past several seasons. His moves in free agency have been chosen carefully and limited to short-term contracts; while the likes of defensive linemen Gerald McCoy and Bruce Irvin are about to see their contracts expire, the Panthers are projected with more than $42 million in cap space for 2020 and don't really have much in the way of bad contracts on their cap. Injuries and retirements could lead them to create an additional $18.1 million in room by moving on from defensive tackle Dontari Poe and tight end Greg Olsen, with that money possibly heading instead toward free-agent cornerback James Bradberry.

The Panthers could clear an additional $19 million by moving on from the final year of Newton's contract, and his situation is the only thing keeping the Panthers from ranking atop this list. He hasn't been healthy since the first half of 2018, and while he was one of the league's best quarterbacks while the Panthers started 6-2, he has been a shell of his former self since. Newton underwent shoulder surgery after the 2018 season, and after suffering a Lisfranc injury and attempting to heal it without going under the knife, he had surgery Monday.

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1:35

Graziano: Rivera firing won't be the last change in Carolina

Dan Graziano reports that Panthers owner David Tepper's decision to fire head coach Ron Rivera is just the beginning of the coaching and organizational changes ahead for Carolina.

Newton should recover in time for minicamp, but the Panthers will have to hire a coach and go through the player-acquisition window without seeing what the QB looks like on the field. That's an almost unbearable amount of uncertainty for an NFL team. Do they cut or attempt to trade their franchise quarterback with no obvious replacement available? If you're a coaching candidate, how can you make a decision on what to do with Newton when you haven't even seen him throw? And does Panthers owner David Tepper let the new coach make his own decision about Newton, or is that an organizational call beyond the coach's purview?

Tepper's role in the process also creates some uncertainty. Prior Panthers owner Jerry Richardson was conservative to a fault, hiring four coaches over his 25 years in charge of the franchise. Tepper, a hedge fund manager who was formerly a Steelers minority owner, fired Rivera less than two years after purchasing the team. Reports have suggested that Tepper plans to integrate a larger dose of analytics into the organization's decision-making, which might limit the pool of coaches who would take this job. Thankfully for the Panthers, the coaches left in the pool are likely to be better options than the ones who would rule out using data as part of their day-to-day work.

The identity of the next coach might be aligned with who ends up playing quarterback for this team. If it's Newton and the Panthers think the only way to use him is in his prior role as both a passer and runner, I wonder if Carolina might look toward Ravens offensive coordinator Greg Roman, who has built a creative, vibrant running attack around MVP favorite Lamar Jackson. Roman also has spent time working for two of the league's more analytics-friendly shops over the past decade in San Francisco and Baltimore.

On a totally different page, the Panthers have been regularly linked with Bill Cowher, who played college football at NC State, over the past decade. Cowher retired before Tepper purchased his minority stake in the Steelers, but their shared familiarity with how the Steelers have built a development machine in Pittsburgh should have plenty of crossover with what Tepper wants to do in Carolina. Cowher sold his house in Carolina in 2018 and moved to New York on a full-time basis for his media duties, but if there was ever an opportunity to make the 62-year-old reconsider his retirement, this might be it. Tepper fired Rivera with the hopes of getting a jump on the hiring process, so it wouldn't be surprising if the Panthers were the first team on this list to lock down their new coach.


1. Dallas Cowboys

Biggest strength: Talent
Biggest weakness: Ownership

At the top of this list is arguably the most difficult job in the NFL. Whoever takes the Cowboys job will be held to an unrealistic standard and expected to win immediately. Jason Garrett has won an average of 8.9 games per 16, won the NFC East last season, might win it again this season and is being run out of town. I suspect there are people who see this as the most enticing job on this list and others who see it as something closer to the least enticing opportunity.

I lean toward the former, and that's based on talent. Even if some of their stars can be the subject of inordinate hype, there are too many talented players on this roster to make this job unappealing. Most of that core is 27 or younger. The opportunity to start your job off with the likes of quarterback Dak Prescott, wide receiver Amari Cooper, running back Ezekiel Elliott and linebackers Leighton Vander Esch and Jaylon Smith as they enter their primes is a difference-maker versus other jobs.

Of course, two of those guys aren't even under contract for 2020. The Cowboys have played hardball with Prescott, Cooper, and fellow free agent-to-be Byron Jones. One of the three is likely to leave, and given that one is a quarterback and the other cost the Cowboys a first-round pick via trade, Jones, a former first-round pick who has played safety and cornerback, is probably packing his bags. The final year of the collective bargaining agreement allows the Cowboys to use both the franchise and transition tags to retain players, so they could franchise Prescott and use the transition tag to keep Cooper before negotiating new deals for both.

The other reality is that the roster outside of that young core has holes. The offensive line isn't playing as well as it did during its 2014-16 peak. The secondary is a mess. Pass-rusher Robert Quinn has had a star season and was a brilliant acquisition on the cheap, but he is also a free agent in 2020. DeMarcus Lawrence, who racked up 25 sacks between 2017 and 2018, has five sacks in 13 games this season.

Every Cowboys coach has to deal with Jerry Jones, which is both a blessing and a curse. Jones is always willing to spend money. He has been strangely patient with Garrett, letting the former Cowboys backup quarterback enter his 10th year as Dallas coach without ever making it as far as the NFC Championship Game. The Cowboys have actually drafted well over the past decade, although Jerry had to be talked out of taking Johnny Manziel over Zack Martin and drafted Prescott only after missing out on Paxton Lynch and Connor Cook.

At the same time, there's a reason Cole Beasley suggested that the Jones-led front office played favorites in deciding who would be targeted in the passing game. Outside of a several-year window when Bill Parcells first took over, coaching the Cowboys has generally meant dealing with meddling by Jones. Every owner has some say in football operations, but nobody is as closely tied to their team's decisions as Jerry.

In a way, that eliminates a middle tier of options. The top candidates -- someone with the stature of a Parcells in 2003 -- have enough leverage to push Jones out of the football decision-making hierarchy as a job prerequisite, at least for a couple of years. The borderline options, on the other hand, don't have the leverage to say no to Jones' role in the puzzle. The Cowboys will likely miss out on the coaches in between, who aren't sufficiently impressive to keep Jerry out of the room but who are valuable enough to get an opportunity elsewhere.

My suspicion is that Jones is probably looking for a transcendent coach, even if it means temporarily ceding some power. He can always take it back down the line. It took Jones 14 years to go from hiring Jimmy Johnson to hiring Parcells. It has now been 16 years since Jones hired Parcells. The timing might be right for Jones to make a superhire and go after Meyer or Riley. Maybe he tries to strike a deal to get someone like former longtime Cowboys assistant Mike Zimmer if the Vikings don't make a lengthy playoff run.

If not, the Cowboys will likely go for a less experienced option and wait to strike when the right candidate approaches. The obvious move in that scenario would be to promote Kellen Moore, given that the first-year offensive coordinator could leave for a head-coaching job elsewhere this offseason. Moore would appease Cowboys fans who have seen the growth in Dallas' offense this season but who also want Garrett gone. It also would leave the Cowboys with the flexibility to pursue someone like Riley if they come available over the next couple of years. Jones won't lack for candidates. After a decade with Garrett, though, the 77-year-old owner may lack for patience with this next head coach if the Cowboys don't win quickly.

Embiid: Criticism from Barkley, Shaq justified

Published in Basketball
Thursday, 12 December 2019 10:32

BOSTON -- Joel Embiid heard the criticism directed at him by Charles Barkley and Shaquille O'Neal.

And, according to Embiid, they are right.

"Maybe they're right. Maybe. I do think they're right. I think I need to be more aggressive, and just look to impose myself and look to dominate," he said.

"I think the whole season I haven't done that, and you can see the way it has affected my efficiency and my stats, so I guess I need to go back to having fun and just dominating. But I get what they are saying and I think they are right, man. I have to make a change."

While Embiid had 22 points, 10 rebounds and six assists going up against fellow All-NBA center Nikola Jokic Tuesday night, that wasn't good enough in the eyes of Barkley and O'Neal, as they both criticized Embiid for his effort and failing to dominate games in the way they think he should.

"He's the toughest player in the league to match up with," Barkley said on TNT after it showed the game Tuesday. "But we don't talk about him the way we talk about Luka [Doncic], Giannis [Antetokounmpo], Anthony Davis, James [Harden]. We don't ever say that about him.

"It's frustrating for me, because I picked the Sixers to get to the Finals."

As for O'Neal, he said, "We're telling you, 'You can be great. You ain't playing hard enough.' Twenty-two [points] ain't enough to get you to the next level.

"Do you want to be great or do you want to be good? If you want to be good, keep doing 22 points. You want to be great, give me 28, give me 30. You want to be great, watch Giannis -- he wants to be great."

Embiid's averages this season are still eye-popping -- 22 points, 12.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists entering Thursday night's nationally televised game against the Celtics -- but his shooting percentage (45.8) is lower than it was last season, and he's clearly been impacted by the way the Sixers chose to remake their team in the offseason.

By moving on from JJ Redick -- who had brilliant chemistry with Embiid during their two seasons together in Philadelphia -- and signing Al Horford, an already spacing-challenged offense became even more so. That, coupled with Embiid playing fewer minutes than he did last season in an effort to stay healthy for the playoffs, has left him trying to find a rhythm in a new environment.

"I mean, I said earlier that I want to get to the playoffs healthy," Embiid said. "The last two years I was not healthy. Two years ago it was my face, and then last year it was my knee and I was sick. This year, I kind of told myself I want to get there healthy.

"We got a new group. I'm still trying to get used to it. It's different. It's completely different. The way I'm being guarded this year, every time I touch the ball, heavy double-, triple-teams.

"[I'm] just trying to navigate through it. Just be a basketball player, make the right plays, if I get double-teamed my teammates know I'm going to pass it, so it's about balancing between trying to make something happen for your team and making the right play."

On a team with shooters around him, perhaps Embiid would have the kind of spacing that would allow him to relentlessly attack single coverage inside. But that isn't what his life in Philadelphia is like for Embiid. Instead, Philadelphia is the biggest team in the league across the board, leaning into the strengths of its best player and trying to beat its opponents into submission at both ends of the court.

That begins with Embiid, one of the league's best defensive players and its most dominant force in the post. But, he said, he knows that if he has an off game, people will look at him -- like Barkley and O'Neal did -- and expect more.

"That's the high standard that I guess that I set," he said. "It just feels like if I don't score 35 points or, I don't know, 40 points, it feels like it's a down game, even when I have 30. It's just the way it is. I signed up for it.

"I want to be great. I put the work in to be at this level and to be better, and I still feel like I have a lot of potential, and people feel the same way so it's only right for people to expect me to, like Shaq and Charles said, to drop 35 a night.

"I'm not a selfish player, I take whatever the defense gives me, if they're going to double-team me all night and I only take two shots, I'll do that, too. I've got to play within the concept of the game and follow whatever the team wants me to do. I've been following it, and if it takes me taking five shots a game I guess I've got to do it."

Gordon Hayward took a hit to the face Wednesday night in a loss to the Indiana Pacers, but the Boston Celtics said he is probable to play against the Sixers. Marcus Smart (eye infection) and Robert Williams (hip) remain out.

For Philadelphia, Horford -- who is back in Boston for the first time since he left the Celtics to sign with the Sixers as a free agent this summer -- is questionable to play with a sore left knee and left hamstring tightness.

What's wrong with Nikola Jokic?

Published in Basketball
Tuesday, 10 December 2019 13:36

It was a superstar stat line -- the kind that turned Nikola Jokic into a first-team All-NBA center: 30 points, 10 rebounds and four assists, all done in front of a national TV audience Friday in Boston.

Jokic's performance, though, raised a question: Why hasn't he done it more often this season?

Jokic's combination of passive play and indifferent body language has left observers around the league baffled -- and his coach searching for answers. And it has the Denver Nuggets fifth in the Western Conference, at 14-8, after they were the second seed last season.

"I think he's going through a tough stretch, I really do, and I think this is the first time where I've seen him go through this," Nuggets coach Mike Malone said. "I think sometimes I'm a little overly defensive of him, because not a lot of guys can average [16 points], 10 [rebounds] and six [assists] ... and everybody is saying, 'What the hell is wrong with Nikola?'"

When that exact question is posed to Jokic, he merely shrugs.

"I don't know," he said. "I'm averaging 16, 10 and six. I think that's pretty good, to be honest."

It was the kind of line -- delivered in a deadpan that made it tough to tell whether it was serious or a joke -- that made Jokic's postgame news conferences during last season's playoffs, when he would famously fiddle with the microphone in front of him, as entertaining as his play.

In fact, he has a point -- he's the only player in the NBA hitting each of those statistical marks.

But after a beat, Jokic decided he had more to say.

"I showed myself I can play at a completely [higher] level, especially in the playoffs," Jokic said. "But I think I need to get back to that level."

To his point: Jokic's intensity level has always fluctuated during games. But after that eye-popping playoff run -- he averaged 25 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists in 14 games in his first postseason trip, plus even better advanced stats on both sides of the ball -- expectations were raised entering this season. Some touted him as an MVP candidate and the Nuggets as a potential NBA Finals team.

So far, he hasn't delivered.

"He is just so gifted," one executive said, "and the strangest thing is his willingness to shoot, or take over [games], is often in doubt. And, deservedly, is called to attention."

So what's going on? The 7-footer's conditioning has been questioned -- and at 284 pounds, he's listed as the heaviest player who has played in a game this season.

"It's not OK to be included in MVP conversations and not be in shape," said another executive who saw Jokic play recently.

Meanwhile, Jokic's time this offseason with the Serbian national team at the FIBA World Cup -- where the team touted as a co-favorite alongside Team USA finished fifth and saw its coach fired -- cut into his time away from the court.

"I think it might be a little bit of everything," Malone said.

Whatever the reasons, one thing is clear: Jokic is less active and involved this season. His stats are down virtually across the board even though he's averaging almost the same minutes -- his only stat that's on the rise is his 3-point shooting attempts, and he's shooting them at a career-low 22.9% accuracy.

And the advanced statistics, which have in the past painted a positive picture of Jokic's talents, only amplify his drop-off. His usage rate is down significantly, as are his assist, steal, block, offensive rebound, overall rebound and free throw rates.

His player efficiency rating is down more than six points, as well -- dropping him from a tie for third in the league last season to 41st this season -- and he has posted career lows in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage and free throw percentage.

"It's clear something is wrong," one scout said.

However, the Nuggets' coach disagreed.

"I don't think there's anything wrong with him," Malone said. "It's him getting that confidence back, and getting the ball to go through the net."

Part of the frustration that comes from watching Jokic's effort level fluctuate is because there doesn't seem to be much rhyme or reason to it. When he was asked about it, he didn't have a simple explanation, either.

"I mean, it depends on the coverage," Jokic said. "It depends on if they are digging, or if they are not digging. It depends on how close they are, or how aggressive the defender is. My measurement is about all this stuff, so I cannot say it's this one thing ... it's a little bit of everything."

Jokic's measured approach might frustrate fans and confuse scouts sometimes, but he is a spectacular playmaker -- often called the greatest passing big man in NBA history. He has been a stickler for playing the game a certain way, with the ball moving around the court. That hasn't changed, even as the expectations for the Nuggets have. And his supporters would point out that, even as he has admittedly not been the player he was in 2018-19, Denver is even better with him on the court this season (plus-6.5 points per 100 possessions, per NBA.com) than the plus-5.8 mark it posted last season.

Jokic helped post that number as he made the leap to stardom, ending Denver's five-year playoff drought and leading the Nuggets to the second round for the first time since 2009. And, like his season individually, Denver has gotten off to a bit of a confusing start.

The Nuggets are on pace to win 52 games (after 54 last season, though with a smaller scoring margin) and have the NBA's second-ranked defense -- a significant sign of growth, at least in these early stages. But they have regressed on offense, which is now 22nd in the NBA after being a top-10 unit each of the past three years. It isn't a coincidence that the nosediving of Jokic's numbers has coincided with his team's offensive woes.

Denver guard Jamal Murray, trying to make his own leap into All-Star status, provided his own harsh assessment of the Nuggets' offense, followed by a silver lining.

"We're not playing well at all," Murray said. "We're playing really bad.

"Imagine when we start playing well?"

There certainly is plenty of time left in the season for that to happen, just as there is plenty of time for Jokic to rediscover the form he possessed last season. And Jokic still intends to get there.

"We want to be a great team," he said. "I think [high expectations are] a good thing to have, just because it will push us to go harder and harder."

Of course, that's precisely what so many want to see him do. But while the world continues to worry about both him and the Nuggets, Jokic isn't concerned.

"I think we are great," he said. "I think we are not shooting the ball really good. If we shoot a little bit better, I think we'll make that step we need to."

Something else would help even more, though: Jokic heeding his own words, and returning to the level he displayed on a nightly basis in the playoffs.

Source: Tigers reach deal with catcher Romine

Published in Baseball
Thursday, 12 December 2019 10:07

Catcher Austin Romine has agreed to a one-year contract worth just over $4 million with the Detroit Tigers, a source told ESPN's Buster Olney on Thursday.

Romine is expected to compete with Grayson Greiner in spring training for the team's starting catching job.

Romine, 31, had a career year at the plate last season for the New York Yankees, hitting .281 with 8 home runs and 35 RBIs in 72 games, serving as the backup to starter Gary Sanchez.

The eight-year major league veteran has played his entire career with the Yankees and has a .239 batting average with 25 home runs and 135 RBIs in 368 games.

He has a career fielding percentage of .994 and has caught 23% of runners attempting to steal (44-of-192).

Bochy to manage France for WBC qualifiers

Published in Baseball
Thursday, 12 December 2019 11:30

Former San Francisco Giants manager Bruce Bochy will manage France in its qualifiers next year for the World Baseball Classic.

France has never qualified for the World Baseball Classic, which will be held next in 2021.

Bochy, who retired as the Giants' manager after the 2019 season, was born in 1955 in Landes de Bussac, France, where his father was stationed in the Army.

"I've been thinking a while about what's next in my life after managing the Giants," Bochy said in the statement announcing his hiring. "I want to stay involved and give back to baseball. Managing France is a perfect example of how I can help develop the game."

Bochy, 64, led San Francisco to three World Series championships and 1,052 regular-season victories in 13 seasons.

Overall, he managed 25 seasons in the major leagues for the San Diego Padres and Giants and had a career record of 2,003-2,029.

SAN DIEGO -- The third-base dominoes began to fall around baseball when Anthony Rendon signed his megadeal with the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday. It means a market that Washington Nationals general manager Mike Rizzo called "active" can really take off. The end result might be a shocking trade of former MVP Kris Bryant, who would be leaving the Chicago Cubs after five seasons.

"The chatter around Bryant has been steady," one rival executive said this week at the winter meetings.

The Cubs probably will have to wait in line until one more free agent, Josh Donaldson, comes off the board. That will leave Bryant as an attractive chip who will cost limited dollars, though top prospects would undoubtedly have to go back to Chicago. Things could move quickly.

"The third-base market is an active market," Rizzo said before Rendon signed with the Angels. "There are several teams in the market for that particular position. I think it will move fairly rapidly, not only in the free-agent market but also in the trade market."

Donaldson is next up and could be a great fit for Rizzo and the defending champions. They aren't afraid to sign the bigger, longer-term deals, though Donaldson's contract will pale in comparison to Rendon's. The Texas Rangers are scanning the market for a third baseman as well, and there are reports that the Philadelphia Phillies are doing the same. After Rendon's signing, league sources pointed to the obvious: Donaldson potentially inking a contract with Washington or Texas, unless the Atlanta Braves change tactics and are willing to sign their player long-term.

Atlanta's style has been to augment its young team with veterans who won't tie up the payroll. General manager Alex Anthopoulos has been a master at being nimble in the offseason and then adding in-season to improve his team. Donaldson's one-year deal last season was great for team and player. The Braves are hoping the same goes for pitcher Cole Hamels, who signed a one-year contract earlier this month, as did catcher Tyler Flowers and outfielder Nick Markakis this offseason. But the Braves know they need more pop in their lineup.

"It's fair to say we'd like to add a middle-of-the order bat if we can," Anthopoulos said. "We are exploring options at third base."

Not surprisingly, sources say the Braves are focused on Donaldson before they turn to the trade market. They're desperate for someone to hit behind Freddie Freeman as Donaldson did last season.

"We used to talk about that with Chipper [Jones] and trying to get somebody behind him," Braves manager Brian Snitker said Wednesday. "I think it's big. It's important. Will it happen? I don't know. I'd sure like for it to."

There aren't many at these meetings who believe the Braves will outbid Texas or Washington for Donaldson's services, and that's when the Braves can turn to the Cubs. It could be a match made in baseball heaven.

But first a review: Why would the Cubs be willing to trade the only player in baseball history to win college player of the year, minor league player of the year, rookie of the year and MVP -- and do so in four straight years?

In a word: circumstances.

No team wants to trade a player of Bryant's caliber, but the Cubs' offense needs some change, their farm system -- and big league team -- needs some arms, they have four key players within two years of free agency, and besides Javier Baez, Bryant would bring the most talent back in a deal. He's one of those who will be a free agent after 2021. The Cubs simply can't pay them all.

"We haven't been able to sign a lot of our key players to contract extensions, so we have to face that reality," Cubs president Theo Epstein said last month. "You can't operate in a theoretical world where a few more of these guys have signed."

And perhaps just as important as anything, as mentioned earlier, this offseason is full of teams needing third basemen. It's a perfect storm of circumstances that could bring the Cubs and Braves to the table.

Why Atlanta? Its propensity for short-term cost certainty fits Bryant's profile. He's likely to make about $45 million in the arbitration process the next two years, which would undoubtedly be two contending seasons for the Braves. Then he can leave via free agency if he chooses.

The Cubs, meanwhile, could pick from a pool of pitchers that includes Mike Foltynewicz and Max Fried at the major league level and highly touted prospects Kyle Wright and Ian Anderson at the minor league level. Plus, the Braves could send third-base prospect Austin Riley and/or Johan Camargo back in a deal.

The teams fit like a glove.

One source also indicated that Snitker thinks Bryant would "fit in perfectly" with his current Braves, bringing championship experience with him. One sticking point could be Bryant's service-time grievance, which is making its way toward an early January decision, according to a source. If Bryant wins, he will become a free agent after next season. As unlikely as that is, the teams might have to agree on two deals, one with less service time in mind and one for two years.

"Generally speaking, the less control you're getting back on trades, it's going to impact what you're going to give up," Anthopoulos said. "If it's the last piece, you might stretch a little bit more ... You have to be open-minded to anything at this time of year."

Either way, Anthopoulos is ready to pivot if Donaldson moves on. The Cubs seem ready as well.

And if it doesn't work out? The Dodgers could be lying in the weeds, scoping out what's left of the third-base market, meaning the Cubs could have even more options.

Eliud Kipchoge: The greatest

Published in Athletics
Thursday, 12 December 2019 07:56

AW’s Steve Smythe takes a close look at the career of the fastest marathon runner in history

Eliud Kipchoge has only won one Olympics and has never won a world title over 26.2 miles but, whatever happens in Japan next summer, he will be regarded as the world’s greatest ever marathoner.

He is the current world record-holder thanks to the 2:01:39 he ran in Berlin last year but it was on the streets of Vienna during the INEOS 1:59 Challenge when the Kenyan well and truly inked his name into the history books.

The event might not have been record eligible and he was assisted of course by a fleet of big-name pacers and a pair of shoes which have sparked considerable debate, but after clocking 1:59:41 he will forever be known as the first man to break the two-hour barrier.

Some have suggested the floodgates will now open and his feat will be emulated by others but look at the pace he is running at and how few athletes can run 45:34 for 10 miles, let alone keep it going for another 16 miles.

Any athlete who can run 26.2 miles at that sort of pace would have to be capable of well within 58 minutes for a half-marathon and able to sustain near 4:30 miling past 20 miles. Only Kipchoge could realistically contemplate that.

He has not lost a marathon for over six years and since then has just suffered two fairly low-key losses at shorter distances.

His average for his last 10 marathons is 2:03:42.8 but including Vienna and the Breaking 2 attempt in Monza two years ago (when he ran 2:00:25) it is a staggering 2:02:45.2.

The average of his 10 best 3000m times is 7:29.706 and 12:52.114 for 5000m – among the fastest averages for these distances.

KIPCHOGE’S AVERAGE PACE IN HIS 1:59:41
1km 2:50.2
1M 4:34.1
5km 14:10.9
10km 28:21.8
10 miles 45:34

5km splits
5km 14:14 (Monza 14:14), 10km 28:28 (14:14) (28:21), 15km 42:34 (14:06) (42:34), 20km 56:47 (14:13) (56:49), 25km 1:10:59 (14:12) (71:03), 30km 1:25:11 (14:12) (1:25:20), 35km 1:39:23 (14:12) (1:39:37), 40km 1:53:35 (14:12) (1:54:00)

KIPCHOGE’S MARATHON CAREER

Date / Position / Venue / Time / Margin / 1st/2nd

April 2013 / 1st / Hamburg / 2:05:30 / 2:05 / 2nd Lemenih Getachew 2:07:35
Sept 2013 / 2nd / Berlin / 2:04:05 / 0:42 / 1st Wilson Kipsang 2:03:23
April 2014 / 1st / Rotterdam / 2:05:00 / 1:08 / 2nd Bernard Koech 2:06:08
Oct 2014 / 1st / Chicago / 2:04:11 / 0:17 / 2nd Sammy Kitwara 2:04:28
Apr 2015 / 1st / London / 2:04:42 / 0.05 / 2nd Kipsang 2:04:47
Sept 2015 / 1st / Berlin / 2:04:00 / 1:21 / 2nd Eliud Kiptanui 2:05:21
Apr 2016 / 1st / London / 2:03:05 / 0:46 / 2nd Stanley Biwott 2:03:51
Aug 2016 / 1st / Rio Olympics / 2:08:44 / 1:10 / 2nd Feyisa Lilesa 2:09:54
May 2017 / nr / Monza / 2:00:25
Sep 2017 / 1st / Berlin / 2:03:32 / 0:14 / 2nd Guye Adola 2:03:46
Apr 2018 / 1st / London / 2:04:17 / 0:32 / 2nd Tola Shura 2:04:49
Sep 2018 / 1st / Berlin / 2:01:39 / 4:44 / 2nd Amos Kipruto 2:06:23
Apr 2019 / 1st / London / 2:02:37 / 0:18 / 2nd Mosinet Geremew 2:02:55
Oct 2019 / nr / Vienna / 1:59:41

Kipchoge’s PBs

Track
1500m 3:33.20 Hengelo 2004
Mile 3:50.40 London 2004
3000m 7:27.66 Doha 2011
2M 8:07.39i Birmingham
5000m 12:46.53 Rome 2004
10,000m 26:49.02 Hengelo 2007

Road
2M 8:02 Newcastle 2008
5km 13:11 Carlsbad 2010
10km 27:34 Madrid 2005
HM 59:25 Lille 2012

Major Championships record

2002 World Junior XC Champs 5th
2003 World Junior XC Champs 1st
2003 World Champs 5000m 1st
2004 World XC Champs 4th
2004 Olympic 5000m 4th
2005 World XC Champs 5th
2004 World Indoor 3000m 3rd
2007 World Champs 5000m 2nd
2008 Olympic 5000m 2nd
2009 World Champs 5000m 5th
2010 Commonwealth 5000m 2nd
2011 World Champs 5000m 7th
2012 World HM Champs 6th
2016 Olympic Marathon 1st

Lin Yun-Ju again excels, the unexpected now the expected

Published in Table Tennis
Thursday, 12 December 2019 06:42

Partnering colleague Cheng I-Ching, the no.2 seeds, the duo accounted for Hungary’s Adam Szudi and Szandra Pergel, the no.8 seeds (11-7, 11-3, 11-4), prior to some two hours later, joining forces with Liao Cheng-Ting, to cause somewhat of men’s doubles stir.

The no.7 seeds, the pair ousted the top seeded Korea Republic combination of Jeoung Youngsik and Lee Sangsu (11-8, 7-11, 11-7, 11-1).

Immense skill

A dream start but it is the skill of Lin Yun-Ju of which most of humanity can only dream that makes him special. Playing over the table I would suggest there is no better player in the world; it is difficult to think of anyone with his sublime skill.

In a doubles combination he is the architect, his retun of service, playing near the net, he is the match of anyone. China’s Xu Xin, like Lin Yun-Ju left handed, is rated by many the best doubles player in the world; the pen-hold grip being regarded as invaluable, considered in many quarters the better grip when playing near the net.

Lin Yun-Ju lays that theory to rest; using the shake-hands grip he is supreme in the near the net, over the table, department. In fact give him a frying pan and he’d return service with aplomb!

Repeat win

Doubles success, a rest, then three hours later, the third win; in the opening round of the men’s singles event, the no.6 seed, he beat Sweden’s Mattias Falck, the no.13 seed (11-7, 11-9, 13-11, 11-9). Thus he repeated the success of late March when he had overcame Mattias Falck in six games (11-5, 8-11, 11-7, 11-7, 8-11, 11-8) in the men’s singles final at the 2019 ITTF Challenge Oman Open.

It was a result that was to spark a quite incredible run of success; now with the benefit of hindsight his second round loss by the very narrowest of margins to the Greek defender, Panagiotis Gionis at the Liebherr 2019 World Championships in Budapest, we now consider somewhat of a blip in his schedule.

At the time the result did not raise eyebrows; never in living memory has there been a player from Chinese Taipei with the defensive style of Panagiotis Gionis. The loss was understandable and there would be more to follow.

Consistent

Not so, this is where Lin Yun-Ju has excelled, he belongs to the genre of talented left handers with golden hands, Denmark’s Michael Maze and China’s Chen Qi come to mind but in terms of consistent results does he not outshine those two talented individuals?

Remember, Lin Yun-Ju is only 18 years old; this year on the ITTF World Tour he was the runner up in June in Japan, the winner in August in the Czech Republic.

Also, he has proved himself against the might of China, like Japan’s Tomokazu Harimoto, Xu Xin remains the nemesis. He beat Ma Long at the T2 Diamond in July in Johor Bahru and more recently at the Chengdu Airlines 2019 Men’s World Cup, where he also ended the progress of Lin Gaoyuan.

Additionally in Johor Bahru he overcame Fan Zhendong to secure the title.

Twice in same year

Wins over Ma Long twice in the same year in international tournament by a player not a member of the Chinese National Team; in my view he is the first to complete the achievement!

The nearest is Vladimir Samsonov of Belarus; on the ITTF World Tour in consecutive years in 2005 he beat Ma Long three times in succession. He won in the final in Germany, before in 2006 and 2007 succeeding respectively in the third round and semi-final in Croatia.

In 2007 when Ma Long lost in the penultimate round in Croatia he was 18 years old; the same now as Lin Yun-Jun. One wonders what riches await.

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