Top Ad
I DIG Radio
www.idigradio.com
Listen live to the best music from around the world!
I DIG Style
www.idigstyle.com
Learn about the latest fashion styles and more...

What the numbers say about playing the par-4 10th at Riviera: Go for it!

Written by 
Published in Golf
Wednesday, 15 February 2023 08:32

There is little debate that the 10th hole at Riviera Country Club is one of the great short par-4s in professional golf, but what about when it comes to strategy on the hole?

Should a player be aggressive off the tee or is it better to lay up? What have the top players in recent years decided to do on this hole that measures 315 yards on the scorecard?

There now exists 20 years of data at The Genesis Invitational to answer those and other questions surrounding Riviera’s iconic hole. Deep diving into the numbers, there are plenty of insights into play at the 10th. (Editor's note: the information provided is from the Golf Channel research department.)

First off, what strategy do players employ in tournament competition? Going back to 2003 (when measuring started on these metrics), there have been years when laying up was the preference. The low year for going for the green was '04, when just 36% of the field went for the green off the tee.

But the numbers have changed drastically in recent years. Just 49.5% of players went for the green at No. 10 in the 2014 Genesis. Since then, the percentages have steadily increased – to the point where nearly everyone is playing aggressively.

Going for the green percentage on No. 10 at Genesis since 2014:

  • 2014: 49.5%
  • 2015: 60.6%
  • 2016: 76.4%
  • 2017: 79.0%
  • 2018: 85.3%
  • 2019: 89.7%
  • 2020: 91.0%
  • 2021: 96.8%
  • 2022: 97.4*%

*Single-year high (measured since 2003)

But does going for the green lead to lower scores? The data is clear: yes, it does.

Here's a look at scoring averages for those who went for the green and those who laid up, from 2015-20 at the Genesis (2021 and '22 were excluded because the sample size of layups is too small). As you can see, players who went for the green, on average, score a quarter-stroke lower than those who didn't.

Year GO for green lay up difference
2015 3.99 4.24 -0.25
2016 3.86 4.02 -0.16
2017 3.81 4.09 -0.27
2018 4.03 4.19 -0.16
2019 3.75 3.96 -0.21
2020 3.86 4.09 -0.23
Total 3.88 4.13 -0.25

These numbers hit across the entire field, from the top to the bottom. And, unsurprisingly, the top players in this week’s field have employed the aggressive go-for-it strategy at No. 10.

The top four players in the Official World Golf Ranking who are competing this week have played the 10th hole a combined 76 times. None of the four has ever laid up. Never. Xander Schauffele, the fifth-highest-ranked player in this year's field has only done it once in 20 attempts.

But there is an outlier:

  • No. 1, Scottie Scheffler: 0 out of 14 career attempts
  • No. 2, Rory McIlroy: 0 out of 22
  • No. 3, Jon Rahm: 0 out of 16
  • No. 5, Patrick Cantlay: 0 out of 24
  • No. 6, Xander Schauffele: 1 out of 20
  • No. 7, Justin Thomas: 18 out of 28

Thomas isn't just an outlier among the top-ranked players; he actually has the lowest go-for-the-green percentage on this hole of any player who has at least 15 rounds at the Genesis since 2015 (when Thomas made his event debut).

  • Justin Thomas: 35.7%
  • Vaughn Taylor: 38.1%
  • K.J. Choi: 43.8%
  • Jim Furyk: 50%
  • Jason Kokrak: 50%
  • Alex Noren: 50%

Thomas' approach, however, has led to an enviable 3.68 career scoring average at the 10th.

Who owns the best scoring average on this hole?

Well, if you take the last 20 years at this event, with a minimum of 15 rounds played, it's the event host:

  • Tiger Woods: 3.32
  • Bryson DeChambeau: 3.33
  • Webb Simpson: 3.56
  • David Toms: 3.56

One of the driving factors for players choosing the aggressive model could be driving distance. In 2003, the Tour average for driving distance was 285.9 yards. Last year, it was 299.8 yards.

Everyone, it seems, it getting longer off the tee. But has everyone ever gone for the green on No. 10 in a single round? Twice, in fact.

Two other times, since 2003, all but one player went for it:

  • 2019, Round 3: 100% (76/76)
  • 2021, Round 4: 100% (67/67)
  • 2019, Round 4: 98.7% (75/76)
  • 2022, Round 3: 98.7% (74/75)

Given the players access to information, and the numbers showing how aggression pays on one of golf's greatest holes, you might see a 2023 round added to that list this week. 

Read 400 times

Soccer

Man City face 'tough' season after late collapse

Man City face 'tough' season after late collapse

EmailPrintOpen Extended ReactionsPep Guardiola said Manchester City are in for a "tough" season afte...

Man City need more than Haaland as season sits on knife's edge

Man City need more than Haaland as season sits on knife's edge

EmailPrintOpen Extended ReactionsMANCHESTER, England -- For 75 minutes on Tuesday night, Manchester...

10-man PSG drop to 26th in narrow loss to Bayern

10-man PSG drop to 26th in narrow loss to Bayern

Bayern Munich battled past 10-man Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 in the Champions League thanks to Kim Min-...

2026 FIFA


2028 LOS ANGELES OLYMPIC

UEFA

2024 PARIS OLYMPIC


Basketball

Giannis out vs. Heat due to pregame knee issue

Giannis out vs. Heat due to pregame knee issue

EmailPrintOpen Extended ReactionsMIAMI -- Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo is out for Tues...

Sources: Kings closing in on deal for Crowder

Sources: Kings closing in on deal for Crowder

EmailPrintOpen Extended ReactionsFree-agent forward Jae Crowder is close to a deal with the Sacramen...

Baseball

Dodgers split $46M from record MLB playoff pool

Dodgers split $46M from record MLB playoff pool

EmailPrintOpen Extended ReactionsNEW YORK -- A full postseason share for the World Series champion L...

Starter or reliever? Stay with the Phillies or go elsewhere? All-Star Jeff Hoffman opens up on free agency

Starter or reliever? Stay with the Phillies or go elsewhere? All-Star Jeff Hoffman opens up on free agency

EmailPrintOpen Extended ReactionsJeff Hoffman is one of the most sought-after relievers in this offs...

Sports Leagues

  • FIFA

    Fédération Internationale de Football Association
  • NBA

    National Basketball Association
  • ATP

    Association of Tennis Professionals
  • MLB

    Major League Baseball
  • ITTF

    International Table Tennis Federation
  • NFL

    Nactional Football Leagues
  • FISB

    Federation Internationale de Speedball

About Us

I Dig® is a leading global brand that makes it more enjoyable to surf the internet, conduct transactions and access, share, and create information.  Today I Dig® attracts millions of users every month.r

 

Phone: (800) 737. 6040
Fax: (800) 825 5558
Website: www.idig.com
Email: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Affiliated