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NHL playoff watch: The key games to watch on Showdown Saturday

Written by 
Published in Hockey
Saturday, 13 April 2024 05:36

By this time next week, the 2024 Stanley Cup playoff bracket will be finalized. And by the end of Saturday's 13-game schedule, a number of playoff fates -- division titles, seeds and playoff spots in general -- could officially be in the books.

And perhaps the best news for hockey fans? The NHL has spread out the games, with a game at 12:30 p.m. ET, five starting between 3 and 5:30 p.m., and only two in the traditional 7 p.m. ET slot. See, it can be done!

Here are the Saturday games with the most on the line:

New York Islanders at New York Rangers (12:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN+): The Islanders were seemingly out of the playoff mix as of a few weeks back, but a recent surge for them (and a swoon by all the others in the non-elite tier of Eastern teams) has them in the No. 3 spot in the Metro. They'll want to keep piling on the points to stick in that spot. For the Rangers, the Presidents' Trophy as the NHL's top standings-point collector remains on the line, and there will also be some vengeance on their minds after a rough-and-tumble matchup against the Isles on Tuesday.

Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars (3 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN+): Speaking of the Presidents' Trophy race, the Stars are one point and three regulation wins behind the Rangers. In other words, they will need to finish with more stadings points than New York to earn the overall No. 1 seed this postseason (since they have only two games left). Bear in mind that the Carolina Hurricanes have an equal number of standings points to Dallas, and one more regulation win than the Rangers.

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche (4 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): If the Stars win, this matchup is officially a preview of the Central Division's No. 2 vs. No. 3 first-round series. Not to alarm Avalanche fans eyeing another long playoff run, but the Jets have won both of the previous games between the teams this season.

Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers (5 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): The Atlantic Division title remains up for grabs. Heading into this matchup against the lottery-bound Sabres, the Panthers are one point behind the Bruins, but they are six regulation wins ahead of Boston. The B's do have a game in hand, but a win here ratchets up the pressure.

New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers (5 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): The Flyers spent much of the season in a playoff position, but then they went 6-10-4 in March and April (thus far), including a recent eight-game winless streak. They'll need a win here against the lottery-bound Devils -- and some help -- to get their spot back.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals (5:30 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): The Lightning always find a way to turn up the intensity when the playoffs approach, and this season is no different. They have a slim chance of overtaking the Maple Leafs for third in the Atlantic, but otherwise, they are looking like a rough matchup for the second-best division winner in the East. At one point, the Caps looked like they were having their own magical spring run into the playoffs; that's much less certain now, but a win here obviously helps their cause. Heading into Saturday, the Caps are one point and two regulation wins behind the wild-card Penguins, and four points behind the Isles for No. 3 in the Metro (with an edge in regulation wins).

Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs (7 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): A win here secures the Leafs' position as no worse than the No. 3 seed in the Atlantic. The stakes are higher for the Wings, who are one point and four regulation wins behind the wild-card Penguins (following their OT loss to Pittsburgh on Thursday).

Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins (8 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN+): We'll go ahead and crown this one as Saturday night's main event! The Bruins are looking to hold off the Panthers in the Atlantic, but are also chasing the Rangers and Stars for the Presidents' Trophy (though we know how everything transpired after they won that honor last season). Pittsburgh begins the day Saturday in possession of the second wild card, but it could be knocked out of that spot based on the Capitals-Lightning game (and later, the Wings-Leafs contest). Every point matters dearly to both of these clubs.

Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers (10 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): The Canucks have been an excellent story this season, seemingly coming out of nowhere to lead the Pacific Division for most of the season. Are the Oilers an even better story? Mired in mediocrity at the start of the campaign, a coaching change ignited them to rocket up the standings -- and put Connor McDavid squarely in the Hart Trophy conversation. Prior to puck drop, the Canucks hold a 105-102 edge in standings points, and a 42-38 edge in regulation wins, but Edmonton has a game in hand. This race is far from over, and an Oilers win would tighten it.

Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings (10:30 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+): For the past two years, the Kings have met their playoff demise at the hands of the Oilers in the first round. As the bracket stands, that is the team they would face again. But they'll have to hold off the Vegas Golden Knights for that position, and the defending champs are three points and four regulation wins behind. A battle against their Orange County-based amphibious cousins is a good chance to pick up two points.

As we traverse the final stretch of the regular season, it's time to check in on all the playoff races -- along with the teams jockeying for position in the 2024 NHL draft lottery.

Note: Playoff chances are via Stathletes.

Jump ahead:
Current playoff matchups
Clinching scenarios
Saturday's schedule
Friday's scores
Expanded standings
Race for No. 1 pick

Current playoff matchups

Eastern Conference

A1 Boston Bruins vs. WC1 Tampa Bay Lightning
A2 Florida Panthers vs. A3 Toronto Maple Leafs
M1 New York Rangers vs. WC2 Pittsburgh Penguins
M2 Carolina Hurricanes vs. M3 New York Islanders

Western Conference

C1 Dallas Stars vs. WC2 Vegas Golden Knights
C2 Winnipeg Jets vs. C3 Colorado Avalanche
P1 Vancouver Canucks vs. WC1 Nashville Predators
P2 Edmonton Oilers vs. P3 Los Angeles Kings


Clinching scenarios

1. The New York Islanders will clinch a playoff berth if they win against the New York Rangers in any fashion AND any of these three following events transpire:

The Islanders will also clinch a playoff berth if they lose in OT or the shootout AND the Red Wings lose in regulation AND the Capitals lose in regulation.

2. The Bruins will clinch the Atlantic Division title if they beat the Penguins in any fashion AND the Florida Panthers lose to the Buffalo Sabres in regulation.

3. The Dallas Stars will clinch the Central Division title if they win against the Seattle Kraken in regulation, OT or a shootout.

4. The Stars will clinch the West's No. 1 seed if they beat the Kraken in any fashion AND the Vancouver Canucks lose to the Edmonton Oilers in regulation.


Saturday's games

Note: All times ET. All games not on TNT or NHL Network are available via NHL Power Play, which is included in an ESPN+ subscription (local blackout restrictions apply).

New York Islanders at New York Rangers, 12:30 p.m. (ABC/ESPN+)
Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars, 3 p.m. (ABC/ESPN+)
Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche, 4 p.m.
Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers, 5 p.m.
New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers, 5 p.m.
Tampa Bay Lightning at 5:30 p.m.
Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs, 7 p.m.
Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators, 7 p.m.
Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins, 8 p.m. (ABC/ESPN+)
Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators, 8 p.m.
Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers, 10 p.m.
Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings, 10:30 p.m.
Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks, 10:30 p.m.


Friday's scoreboard

Carolina Hurricanes 5, St. Louis Blues 2
Nashville Predators 5, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Arizona Coyotes 3, Edmonton Oilers 2 (OT)
Vegas Golden Knights 7, Minnesota Wild 2
Calgary Flames 6, Anaheim Ducks 3


Expanded standings

Atlantic Division

x - Boston Bruins

Points: 107
Regulation wins: 35
Playoff position: A1
Games left: 3
Points pace: 111
Next game: @ PIT (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Florida Panthers

Points: 106
Regulation wins: 41
Playoff position: A2
Games left: 2
Points pace: 109
Next game: vs. BUF (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Toronto Maple Leafs

Points: 101
Regulation wins: 33
Playoff position: A3
Games left: 3
Points pace: 105
Next game: vs. DET (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Tampa Bay Lightning

Points: 96
Regulation wins: 36
Playoff position: WC1
Games left: 3
Points pace: 100
Next game: @ WSH (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

Detroit Red Wings

Points: 85
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 3
Points pace: 88
Next game: @ TOR (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 37.1%
Tragic number: 5

e - Buffalo Sabres

Points: 81
Regulation wins: 32
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 2
Points pace: 83
Next game: @ FLA (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Ottawa Senators

Points: 74
Regulation wins: 24
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 3
Points pace: 77
Next game: vs. MTL (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Montreal Canadiens

Points: 73
Regulation wins: 20
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 3
Points pace: 76
Next game: @ OTT (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E


Metropolitan Division

x - New York Rangers

Points: 110
Regulation wins: 42
Playoff position: M1
Games left: 2
Points pace: 113
Next game: vs. NYI (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Carolina Hurricanes

Points: 109
Regulation wins: 43
Playoff position: M2
Games left: 2
Points pace: 112
Next game: @ CHI (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

New York Islanders

Points: 89
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: M3
Games left: 3
Points pace: 92
Next game: @ NYR (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 92.9%
Tragic number: N/A

Pittsburgh Penguins

Points: 86
Regulation wins: 31
Playoff position: WC2
Games left: 3
Points pace: 89
Next game: vs. BOS (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 42%
Tragic number: N/A

Washington Capitals

Points: 85
Regulation wins: 29
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 3
Points pace: 88
Next game: vs. TB (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 18.9%
Tragic number: 5

Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 85
Regulation wins: 29
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 2
Points pace: 87
Next game: vs. NJ (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 9.1%
Tragic number: 3

e - New Jersey Devils

Points: 81
Regulation wins: 33
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 2
Points pace: 83
Next game: @ PHI (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 64
Regulation wins: 20
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 2
Points pace: 66
Next game: @ NSH (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E


Central Division

x - Dallas Stars

Points: 109
Regulation wins: 39
Playoff position: C1
Games left: 2
Points pace: 112
Next game: vs. SEA (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Winnipeg Jets

Points: 104
Regulation wins: 43
Playoff position: C2
Games left: 3
Points pace: 108
Next game: @ COL (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Colorado Avalanche

Points: 104
Regulation wins: 41
Playoff position: C3
Games left: 3
Points pace: 108
Next game: vs. WPG (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Nashville Predators

Points: 97
Regulation wins: 37
Playoff position: WC1
Games left: 2
Points pace: 99
Next game: vs. CBJ (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

e - St. Louis Blues

Points: 89
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 2
Points pace: 91
Next game: vs. SEA (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Minnesota Wild

Points: 83
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 3
Points pace: 86
Next game: @ SJ (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Arizona Coyotes

Points: 75
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 2
Points pace: 77
Next game: @ CGY (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 51
Regulation wins: 17
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 3
Points pace: 53
Next game: vs. CAR (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E


Pacific Division

x - Vancouver Canucks

Points: 105
Regulation wins: 42
Playoff position: P1
Games left: 3
Points pace: 109
Next game: @ EDM (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Edmonton Oilers

Points: 102
Regulation wins: 38
Playoff position: P2
Games left: 4
Points pace: 107
Next game: vs. VAN (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Los Angeles Kings

Points: 95
Regulation wins: 36
Playoff position: P3
Games left: 3
Points pace: 99
Next game: vs. ANA (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - Vegas Golden Knights

Points: 94
Regulation wins: 33
Playoff position: WC2
Games left: 3
Points pace: 98
Next game: vs. COL (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

e - Seattle Kraken

Points: 79
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 4
Points pace: 83
Next game: @ DAL (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Calgary Flames

Points: 77
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 3
Points pace: 80
Next game: vs. ARI (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Anaheim Ducks

Points: 57
Regulation wins: 20
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 2
Points pace: 58
Next game: @ LA (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - San Jose Sharks

Points: 47
Regulation wins: 14
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 3
Points pace: 49
Next game: vs. MIN (Saturday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

p -- clinched Presidents' Trophy
y -- clinched division
x -- clinched playoff berth
e -- eliminated from playoff contention


Race for the No. 1 pick

The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. As of 2021, a team can move up a maximum of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so only 11 teams are eligible for the draw for the No. 1 pick. Full details on the process can be found here. Sitting No. 1 on the draft board for this summer is Macklin Celebrini, a freshman at Boston University.

1. San Jose Sharks

Points: 47
Regulation wins: 14

2. Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 51
Regulation wins: 17

3. Anaheim Ducks

Points: 57
Regulation wins: 20

4. Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 64
Regulation wins: 20

5. Montreal Canadiens

Points: 73
Regulation wins: 20

6. Arizona Coyotes

Points: 75
Regulation wins: 27

7. Ottawa Senators

Points: 74
Regulation wins: 24

8. Calgary Flames

Points: 77
Regulation wins: 30

9. Seattle Kraken

Points: 79
Regulation wins: 27

10. Buffalo Sabres

Points: 81
Regulation wins: 32

11. New Jersey Devils

Points: 81
Regulation wins: 33

12. Minnesota Wild

Points: 83
Regulation wins: 30

13. Detroit Red Wings

Points: 85
Regulation wins: 27

14. Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 85
Regulation wins: 29

15. Washington Capitals

Points: 85
Regulation wins: 29

16. St. Louis Blues

Points: 89
Regulation wins: 30

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