There are seven weeks until NFL training camp, more than three months until the 2024 regular season and nearly a year until the 2025 NFL draft. We know what you're thinking: Is it too early to think about the 2025 draft? The answer is no.

Let's take a first look at the projected first-round draft order for 32 teams with ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI). The FPI projects the draft order by simulating the season 10,000 times. Game probabilities are based largely on the model's ratings for individual teams in addition to game locations. The order is based on the records the model believes the teams will have after 17 games and each team's average draft position in the simulations.

After you check out the the full 1-32 projection for the 2025 NFL draft below, take a glance at more FPI takeaways for the upcoming season.

1. New England Patriots

Average draft position: 5.1
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 21.9%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 66.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 87.4%

2. Carolina Panthers

Average draft position: 5.7
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 20.8%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 62.9%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 84.7%

3. Denver Broncos

Average draft position: 7.0
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 12.4%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 50.9%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 77.1%

4. Tennessee Titans

Average draft position: 9.1
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 7.1%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 36.7%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 65.1%

5. Washington Commanders

Average draft position: 9.8
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 5.7%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 32.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 60.8%

6. New York Giants

Average draft position: 9.8
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 5.8%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 32.4%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 60.9%

7. Minnesota Vikings

Average draft position: 10.7
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 4.7%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 28%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 54.8%

8. Las Vegas Raiders

Average draft position: 11.2
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 3.56%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 25.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 52.1%

9. Arizona Cardinals

Average draft position: 11.6
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 3.5%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 23.4%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 50.5%

10. New Orleans Saints

Average draft position: 13.1
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 2.6%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 19.4%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 43.6%

11. Seattle Seahawks

Average draft position: 14.1
FPI chance to earn top-5 pick: 13.9%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 36.1%

12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Average draft position: 14.4
FPI chance to earn top-5 pick: 14%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 36.6%

13. Pittsburgh Steelers

Average draft position: 14.9
FPI chance to earn top-5 pick: 11.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 30.9%

14. Indianapolis Colts

Average draft position: 15.0
FPI chance to earn top-5 pick: 13.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 33.2%

15. Jacksonville Jaguars

Average draft position: 15.8
FPI chance to earn top-5 pick: 11%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 29.5%

16. Cleveland Browns

Average draft position: 15.9
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 26%

17. Chicago Bears

Average draft position: 16.2
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 27.4%

18. Los Angeles Chargers

Average draft position: 16.8
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 24.9%

19. Los Angeles Rams

Average draft position: 17.9
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 19.2%

20. New York Jets

Average draft position: 18.5
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 36.6%

21. Miami Dolphins

Average draft position: 20.2
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 18.2%

22. Atlanta Falcons

Average draft position: 20.2
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 14.8%

23. Houston Texans

Average draft position: 21.3
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 10%

24. Green Bay Packers

Average draft position: 21.4
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 9.6%

25. Cincinnati Bengals

Average draft position: 22.5
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 6.6%

26. Buffalo Bills

Average draft position: 22.5
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 6.9%

27. Dallas Cowboys

Average draft position: 23.6
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 4.9%

28. Philadelphia Eagles

Average draft position: 23.6
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 4.9%

29. Baltimore Ravens

Average draft position: 24.3
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 3.1%

30. Detroit Lions

Average draft position: 24.4
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 3.5%

31. Kansas City Chiefs

Average draft position: 25.7
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 2.3%

32. San Francisco 49ers

Average draft position: 25.8
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 2.1%