NHL Power Rankings: Jets stay in the top spot, plus each team's playoff chances
Written by I Dig Sports
With the 2024-25 NHL trade season wrapping up at 3 p.m. ET on Friday, hockey fans next turn their collective attention to the playoff races.
Which teams are shoo-ins, who remains in a battle and who is looking ahead to the draft lottery? In addition to an updated set of Power Rankings, this week's list also includes playoff chance projections courtesy of Stathletes.
How we rank: A panel of ESPN hockey commentators, analysts, reporters and editors sends in a 1-32 poll based on the games through Wednesday, which generates our master list.
Note: Previous ranking for each team refers to the previous edition, published Feb. 28. Points percentages are through Thursday's games.
1. Winnipeg Jets
Previous ranking: 1
Points percentage: 71.43%
Playoff chances: 99.9%. Although they dropped off of their record-setting pace from the early part of the season, the Jets continue to soar over most competition. Is this the year that Connor Hellebuyck leads them on a long playoff run to silence his critics?
Next seven days: @ NJ (March 7), @ CAR (March 9), vs. NYR (March 11)
2. Washington Capitals
Previous ranking: 2
Points percentage: 70.97%
Playoff chances: 99.9%. Alex Ovechkin's chase of Wayne Gretzky's goal-scoring record continues to received a lot of the attention. Meanwhile, the Caps just keep piling up victories en route to what could be the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference bracket.
Next seven days: vs. DET (March 7), vs. SEA (March 9), @ ANA (March 11), @ LA (March 13)
3. Dallas Stars
Previous ranking: 3
Points percentage: 67.74%
Playoff chances: 99.9%. Whether Miro Heiskanen returns before the end of the regular season, Dallas appears to be a strong bet to qualify for the playoffs. But his presence once that tourney begins will greatly influence how far they get.
Next seven days: @ EDM (March 8), @ VAN (March 9)
4. Florida Panthers
Previous ranking: 6
Points percentage: 64.29%
Playoff chances: 99.9%. The Matthew Tkachuk injury surely affects what the Panthers can do for the rest of the regular season. But with a spot in the postseason tourney on the way to being locked up, Florida is just hoping he's back close to 100% by the night of Round 1, Game 1.
Next seven days: vs. BUF (March 8), @ BOS (March 11), @ TOR (March 13)
5. Vegas Golden Knights
Previous ranking: 5
Points percentage: 65.57%
Playoff chances: 99.9%. The Knights were already a shoo-in to qualify for the postseason, and now they'll get to experience playoff hockey with original Golden Misfit Reilly Smith again. Will he be the spark that gets them another Stanley Cup? Stathletes projects their Cup chances at 10.4%, fourth highest in the NHL.
Next seven days: vs. PIT (March 7), vs. LA (March 9), @ PIT (March 11), @ CBJ (March 13)
6. Toronto Maple Leafs
Previous ranking: 4
Points percentage: 63.71%
Playoff chances: 99.9%. Maple Leafs teams of the recent past were among the NHL's top regular-season teams, but many times did so by outscoring their defensive deficiencies. Not so this season, under new coach Craig Berube. Will their playoff fate be similarly different?
Next seven days: @ COL (March 8), @ UTAH (March 10), vs. FLA (March 13)
7. Tampa Bay Lightning
Previous ranking: 8
Points percentage: 62.90%
Playoff chances: 99.9%. The Lightning always seem to find a way to make additions at the trade deadline -- usually at the expense of early-round draft choices. Such was the case this week with the return of Yanni Gourde, who will aid in their quest to bring the Stanley Cup back to central Florida.
Next seven days: vs. BOS (March 8), @ CAR (March 11), @ PHI (March 13)
8. Carolina Hurricanes
Previous ranking: 11
Points percentage: 61.90%
Playoff chances: 99.9%. New year, same (general) results for the Canes; another playoff appearance is a highly likely outcome. Will they get back to the Cup Final for the first time in the Rod Brind'Amour coaching era? Stathletes lists those chances as 32.9%, and their Cup-winning chances as 18.5%, both of which are highest in the league.
Next seven days: vs. WPG (March 9), vs. TB (March 11)
9. Edmonton Oilers
Previous ranking: 7
Points percentage: 61.29%
Playoff chances: 99.6%. The Stanley Cup runner-up last season appear primed to make another long run this season: Stathletes projects the Oilers as having a 25.1% chance of making the Cup Final, and 13.2% chance of winning it all.
Next seven days: vs. DAL (March 8), @ BUF (March 10), @ NJ (March 13)
10. Minnesota Wild
Previous ranking: 10
Points percentage: 61.29%
Playoff chances: 95.6%. The Wild have faded a bit since they were one of the NHL's biggest surprises in the season's first half. Nevertheless, they remain firmly entrenched in playoff position -- and could do some damage if injured players such as Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek can return close to full health.
Next seven days: @ VAN (March 7), vs. PIT (March 9), vs. COL (March 11), vs. NYR (March 13)
11. Colorado Avalanche
Previous ranking: 13
Points percentage: 60.32%
Playoff chances: 99.3%. The Nathan MacKinnon-Cale Makar show rolls on, though the third part of that superstar group, Mikko Rantanen, was traded in January. It's hard to diminish this team's Cup chances, particularly with Mackenzie Blackwood finally rounding into the form in goal that some had envisioned for him as a prospect.
Next seven days: vs. TOR (March 8), vs. CHI (March 10), @ MIN (March 11)
12. Los Angeles Kings
Previous ranking: 9
Points percentage: 59.17%
Playoff chances: 84.4%. Will this be the year that the Kings finally make it out of the second round again? It would probably help to avoid the Oilers (who've beaten them three straight times) in Round 1. Unfortunately, that is exactly how the standings look at the moment.
Next seven days: vs. STL (March 8), @ VGK (March 9), vs. NYI (March 11), vs. WSH (March 13)
13. New Jersey Devils
Previous ranking: 12
Points percentage: 57.14%
Playoff chances: 91.5%. The injury to Jack Hughes -- whose return is slated for next season's training camp -- dings the Devils' chances of going far in the playoffs. But they remain much more likely than not to qualify for the field, and it's anyone's game once the tourney begins.
Next seven days: vs. WPG (March 7), @ PHI (March 9), vs. CBJ (March 11), vs. EDM (March 13)
14. Columbus Blue Jackets
Previous ranking: 16
Points percentage: 54.24%
Playoff chances: 31.0%. Easily the NHL's best story this season, the Blue Jackets remain squarely in the mix for a playoff spot as March continues. Can they catch the Devils -- and hold off all of the teams chasing them?
Next seven days: @ NYR (March 9), @ NJ (March 11), vs. VGK (March 13)
15. Calgary Flames
Previous ranking: 15
Points percentage: 54.03%
Playoff chances: 31.6%. What rebuild? During the course of last trade season and the offseason, the Flames said goodbye to Jacob Markstrom, Noah Hanifin, Elias Lindholm, Nikita Zadorov, Tyler Toffoli and Chris Tanev. And yet, they remain right in the mix of the Western Conference wild-card race.
Next seven days: vs. MTL (March 8), vs. VAN (March 12)
16. New York Rangers
Previous ranking: 19
Points percentage: 54.03%
Playoff chances: 24.7%. This Blueshirts' campaign has been a roller coaster, from one of the top preseason picks to win it all to dropping precipitously in the standings to now being right in the battle for a wild-card spot. Do they have more spring magic in store?
Next seven days: @ OTT (March 8), vs. CBJ (March 9), @ WPG (March 11), @ MIN (March 13)
17. Ottawa Senators
Previous ranking: 17
Points percentage: 54.92%
Playoff chances: 80.6%. Of the three "Atlantic Rising" teams, the Senators appear to have a slight upper hand for now, with the Red Wings a point behind and the Sabres destined for another draft lottery.
Next seven days: vs. NYR (March 8), vs. DET (March 10), @ PHI (March 11), vs. BOS (March 13)
18. Detroit Red Wings
Previous ranking: 14
Points percentage: 53.23%
Playoff chances: 13.7%. The Wings' season pivoted when Derek Lalonde was fired and replaced by Todd McLellan behind the bench. Detroit fans are hoping that it didn't pivot again in the opposite direction when the club lost two games in a row to their fellow Eastern wild-card contending Blue Jackets.
Next seven days: @ WSH (March 7), @ OTT (March 10), vs. BUF (March 12)
19. Vancouver Canucks
Previous ranking: 18
Points percentage: 54.92%
Playoff chances: 27.3%. The reigning Pacific Division champs have had a rough season, including injuries to key players and interpersonal disputes that ultimately led to the trade of J.T. Miller in January.
Next seven days: vs. MIN (March 7), vs. DAL (March 9), vs. MTL (March 11), @ CGY (March 12)
20. Montreal Canadiens
Previous ranking: 23
Points percentage: 53.23%
Playoff chances: 18.9%. Expectations were low for the Habs to make any sort of significant postseason run in 2024-25, and yet they remain in the Eastern chaos, just a hot streak away from snatching one of the wild cards.
Next seven days: @ CGY (March 8), @ VAN (March 11), @ SEA (March 12)
21. St. Louis Blues
Previous ranking: 22
Points percentage: 52.38%
Playoff chances: 37.3%. Though they're out of a playoff spot for now, the Blues certainly have a path to getting back in position -- though the Colton Parayko injury certainly doesn't help.
Next seven days: @ ANA (March 7), @ LA (March 8), @ PIT (March 13)
22. Utah Hockey Club
Previous ranking: 20
Points percentage: 52.42%
Playoff chances: 24.3%. With a fresh start in Salt Lake City, the UHC also committed to several key players via contract extensions this week. Will they make a run here to close out the season and bring playoff hockey to Utah too?
Next seven days: @ CHI (March 7), vs. TOR (March 10), vs. ANA (March 12)
23. New York Islanders
Previous ranking: 25
Points percentage: 51.64%
Playoff chances: 24.3%. Consistent success has eluded the Isles this season, despite a full offseason program for Patrick Roy and his coaching staff. Could there be bigger changes on the way this summer?
Next seven days: @ SJ (March 8), @ ANA (March 9), @ LA (March 11)
24. Boston Bruins
Previous ranking: 21
Points percentage: 50.00%
Playoff chances: 2.3%. Many had been forecasting a downturn for the B's in recent preseasons. Due to a variety of factors, 2024-25 appears to be the time when they will finally miss the playoffs. There are big decisions ahead this summer.
Next seven days: @ TB (March 8), vs. FLA (March 11), @ OTT (March 13)
25. Philadelphia Flyers
Previous ranking: 24
Points percentage: 49.21%
Playoff chances: 12.8%. The Flyers overachieved in 2023-24, remaining in the playoff mix well into April before ultimately dropping out of postseason position. It has been a different story this season, as they've never really entered the playoff picture, despite as encouraging season for future star Matvei Michkov.
Next seven days: vs. SEA (March 8), vs. NJ (March 9), vs. OTT (March 11), vs. TB (March 13)
26. Anaheim Ducks
Previous ranking: 26
Points percentage: 50.00%
Playoff chances: 0.5%. The Ducks have had their moments in 2024-25 but are not quite ready to mount a serious challenge for the postseason. Will an active offseason change their trajectory?
Next seven days: vs. STL (March 7), vs. NYI (March 9), vs. WSH (March 11), @ UTA (March 12)
27. Pittsburgh Penguins
Previous ranking: 28
Points percentage: 45.31%
Playoff chances: 0.3%. On occasion, Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin & Co. make fans remember the good times for this franchise, but those occasions have been too infrequent this season, and a playoff berth is a remote possibility at best.
Next seven days: @ VGK (March 7), @ MIN (March 9), vs. VGK (March 11), vs. STL (March 13)
28. Seattle Kraken
Previous ranking: 29
Points percentage: 44.44%
Playoff chances: 0.1%. This will be the third time in four seasons of existence that the Kraken have missed the postseason. What will GM Ron Francis do with the bounty of picks (and cap space) he received during trade season?
Next seven days: @ PHI (March 8), @ WSH (March 9), vs. MTL (March 12)
29. Buffalo Sabres
Previous ranking: 27
Points percentage: 44.26%
Playoff chances: 0.1%. The longest postseason drought in North American pro sports will continue this spring, in stark contrast to the runaway success of the NFL's Buffalo Bills (who share an ownership group) and the NLL's Buffalo Bandits (who share the arena but pack in more fans than the Sabres).
Next seven days: @ FLA (March 8), vs. EDM (March 10), @ DET (March 12)
30. Nashville Predators
Previous ranking: 30
Points percentage: 42.74%
Playoff chances: 0.0%. After a surprising turnaround to qualify for the 2024 playoffs -- and then winning the offseason, by inking Steven Stamkos, Jonathan Marchessault and Brady Skjei -- this season has been wildly disappointing for Nashville.
Next seven days: vs. CHI (March 8), @ SJ (March 11)
31. Chicago Blackhawks
Previous ranking: 31
Points percentage: 37.10%
Playoff chances: 0.0%. This will be another spring of playoff-less hockey in Chicago. But are better days on the way? There's reason to believe that they are closer to contention than many think.
Next seven days: vs. UTA (March 7), @ NSH (March 8), @ COL (March 10), @ SJ (March 13)
32. San Jose Sharks
Previous ranking: 32
Points percentage: 33.59%
Playoff chances: 0.0%. The chances of a playoff berth left the station for this team a while back, but Sharks fans must be encouraged by the play of Macklin Celebrini and Will Smith, both of whom appear far ahead of their expected developmental curves.
Next seven days: vs. NYI (March 8), vs. NSH (March 11), CHI (March 13)