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Live tracking the NFL playoff picture: Cardinals' postseason hopes dip to 12%

Written by 
Published in Breaking News
Sunday, 03 January 2021 15:06

Several NFL playoff spots are still in play in Week 17, along with a couple of division titles. And three teams currently on the outside looking in still have a chance to play postseason football.

In the early window on Sunday, the Ravens, Browns and Titans all clinched playoff spots. The Cowboys were also eliminated by the Giants, and the Buccaneers locked themselves into the No. 5 spot in the NFC. The Bills will be the No. 2 seed in the AFC after their win, locking the Steelers into the third spot.

We're live tracking the playoff picture on Sunday, following the playoff races in both the AFC and NFC. We will update playoff chances and projections from ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) periodically throughout the 16-game slate, showing how the playoff landscape is changing as games are played. Clinching scenarios are provided for each team as well. Keep checking back all day long for the most up-to-date view of the playoff teams and seedings based on those FPI projections.

LAST UPDATED: 6:55 p.m. ET

Jump to team in contention:
ARI | BAL | BUF | CHI | CLE
GB | IND | KC | LAR | MIA | NO
NYG | PIT | SEA | TB | TEN | WSH

NFC

1. Green Bay Packers (Clinched division)

Scenario: The Packers have locked up the NFC North and can clinch the No. 1 seed -- giving them home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs and a wild-card round bye -- with a win against Chicago OR a Seattle loss. They also can clinch the No. 2 seed with a New Orleans loss and a Seattle win. They cannot fall lower than third in the conference.

Follow relevant games live: GB-CHI | NO-CAR | SEA-SF

FPI chances: The Packers' chances to be the No. 1 seed in the NFC sit at 87%.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: BYE


2. New Orleans Saints (Clinched division)

Scenario: The Saints have locked up the NFC South and can clinch the No. 1 seed -- giving them home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs and a wild-card round bye -- with a win against Carolina, a Green Bay loss and a Seattle win. They also can clinch the No. 2 seed with a win and Green Bay loss OR a Seattle loss. They cannot fall lower than third in the conference.

Follow relevant games live: NO-CAR | GB-CHI | SEA-SF

FPI chances: The Saints' chances to be the No. 1 seed in the NFC sit at 13%.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Bears


3. Seattle Seahawks (Clinched division)

Scenario: The Seahawks have locked up the NFC West and can clinch the No. 1 seed -- giving them home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs and a wild-card round bye -- with a win against San Francisco, a New Orleans loss and a Green Bay loss. They also can clinch the No. 2 seed with a win, a New Orleans win and a Green Bay loss OR a win, a Green Bay win and a New Orleans loss. They cannot fall lower than third in the conference.

Follow relevant games live: SEA-SF | NO-CAR | GB-CHI

FPI chances: The Seahawks' chances to be the No. 1 seed in the NFC sit at 1%.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Rams


4. Washington Football Team

Scenario: Washington's scenario to both make the playoffs and win the NFC East is very simple: win against Philadelphia. The only possible playoff seeding Washington has in play is No. 4.

Follow relevant games live: WSH-PHI (8:20 p.m. ET)

FPI chances: Washington has a 60% chance to win the NFC East and make the playoffs.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Buccaneers


5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Clinched playoffs)

Scenario: The Buccaneers have locked up a playoff berth, and they will be the No. 5 seed in the NFC. They are eliminated from the NFC South title race.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Washington


6. Los Angeles Rams

Scenario: The Rams can clinch a playoff berth with a win against Arizona OR a Chicago loss. They are eliminated from the NFC West title race.

Follow relevant games live: ARI-LAR | GB-CHI

FPI chances: The Rams have a 96% chance to make the playoffs.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Seahawks


7. Chicago Bears

Scenario: The Bears can clinch a playoff berth with a win against Green Bay OR an Arizona loss. They are eliminated from the NFC North title race.

Follow relevant games live: GB-CHI | ARI-LAR

FPI chances: The Bears have a 92% chance to make the playoffs.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Saints


CURRENTLY OUTSIDE

Arizona Cardinals

Scenario: The Cardinals can clinch a playoff berth with a win against the Rams. They are eliminated from the NFC West title race.

Follow relevant games live: ARI-LAR

FPI chances: The Cardinals have a 12% chance to make the playoffs.


New York Giants

Scenario: The Giants can clinch the NFC East and a playoff berth with a Washington loss. The only possible playoff seeding New York has in play is No. 4.

Follow relevant games live: WSH-PHI (8:20 p.m. ET)

FPI chances: The Giants have a 40% chance to win the NFC East and make the playoffs.

AFC

1. Kansas City Chiefs (Clinched top seed)

Scenario: The Chiefs have locked up both the AFC West and the No. 1 seed in the conference. They will receive both home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs and a wild-card round bye.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: BYE


2. Buffalo Bills (Clinched division)

Scenario: The Bills have locked up the AFC East, and they will be the No. 2 seed in the AFC.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Colts


3. Pittsburgh Steelers (Clinched division)

Scenario: The Steelers have locked up the AFC North, and they will be the No. 3 seed in the AFC.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Browns


4. Tennessee Titans (Clinched playoffs)

Scenario: The Titans can clinch the AFC South with a win against the Texans OR an Indianapolis loss. They have clinched a playoff berth with Miami's loss.

Follow relevant games live: TEN-HOU | JAX-IND

FPI chances: The Titans have a 76% chance to win the AFC South.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Ravens


5. Baltimore Ravens (Clinched playoffs)

Scenario: The Ravens have locked up a playoff berth, and they will be the No. 5 seed in the AFC. They are eliminated from the AFC North title race.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Titans


6. Cleveland Browns (Clinched playoffs)

Scenario: The Browns have locked up a playoff berth, and they will be the No. 6 seed in the AFC. They are eliminated from the AFC North title race.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Steelers


7. Indianapolis Colts

Scenario: The Colts can clinch the AFC South with a win against the Jaguars and a Tennessee loss. They also can clinch a playoff berth if they miss out on the division with a win.

Follow relevant games live: JAX-IND | TEN-HOU

FPI chances: The Colts have a 88% chance to make the playoffs and a 24% chance to win the AFC South.

Projected wild-card weekend matchup: vs. Bills


CURRENTLY OUTSIDE

Miami Dolphins

Scenario: The Dolphins can clinch a playoff berth with an Indianapolis loss. They are eliminated from the AFC East title race.

Follow relevant games live: JAX-IND

FPI chances: The Dolphins have a 12% chance to make the playoffs.

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